Many Caribbean Islands have among the highest murder rates in the world. Countries such as Jamaica, Saint Lucia, St Kitts and Nevis, St Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, and Turks and Caicos Islands all have murder rates in 2023 that are above 40...
Cleveland isn't the only city that has been accused of under reporting crime rates. Chicago and Philadelphia has faced similar claims in the past. Since 2013, the department submitted 1.9 million case reports to OIBRS. About 119,000 criminal offenses weren't...
Dr. John Lott has a new piece at The Federalist. The FBI has a big transparency problem. For a year, the media has been using the FBI’s estimates of reported crime to claim that crime has been falling. When the FBI released its numbers for 2023 in September...
A writer at the Kansas City Star, David Mastio, received a response from the FBI (we never did). Mastio's bottom line is: "Here’s what I’ve learned in decades of covering Washington: When bad news is false, agency press people go out of their way to make it crystal...
As we have pointed out many times, the U.S. Department of Justice has two measures of crime: the FBI measure of reported crime and the Bureau of Justice Statistics measure of total crime. The relationship between these two measures is quite shocking for the Biden...
USA Today’s headline on the FBI's reported crime data released in September 2023 claims “Violent crime dropped for second straight year in 2023, including murder and rape.” There are two errors in their headline. First, that it is the FBI’s measure of reported crime...
Here is a letter that we submitted to the New York Times a couple weeks ago. The letter was not published by the Times. Background: I have served as the senior advisor for research and statistics in the US Department of Justice’s Office of Justice Programs and the...
The murder rate in 2019 was 5.168 and 2023 in 5.748, an 11.23% increase. As noted before, the Centers for Disease Control showed an increase in ~murders (homicide, excluding legal intervention) from 2020 to 2022 while the FBI data shows a drop. The CDC data showed a...
The raw data on the changes in 2021 and 2022 are shown farther down the page. The newly released FBI data shows that reported violent crime (murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault) fell by 3.5% in 2023, but they have revised the 2022 data to show a 4.5%...
UPDATE: We have added ChatGBT's evaluation of the post below. Original Post: Despite what the media and the Bureau of Justice Statistics are noting, if you look at the percentage changes in crime rates under the Biden administration, there has never been such a large...
Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed at Real Clear Politics. It was republished at The Daily Signal, The Center Square, The Highland County Press (Hillsboro, Ohio), Lone Star Live, The Ohio Star, The Herald Review (Sierra Vista, AZ), . Law enforcement in the United States...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cKs69OEpzqQ Trump: "And we had a couple of instances last night where things were mentioned. So I got it. Did crime rise under Trump and fall under Biden? They said it rose under Trump and and they go, No, the opposite is true. Take a...