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Original Research

The Reported Violent Crime Continues to Plummet This Year: An estimated 18.4% drop in homicide in the first seven months of 2026 compared to the first seven months of 2025, rapes were down 10.6%, robberies down 16.7%, and aggravated assaults down 3.5%

The Reported Violent Crime Continues to Plummet This Year: An estimated 18.4% drop in homicide in the first seven months of 2026 compared to the first seven months of 2025, rapes were down 10.6%, robberies down 16.7%, and aggravated assaults down 3.5%

by | Oct 22, 2026 | ,

Screenshot Comparing the number of murders in the first seven months of 2025 to the same time in 2026:FBI Crime Data Explorer Data Discovery ToolMonth20252026Coverage gap in 2026 in percent of the population covered in percentage pointsPercent Drop in Homicides...

Eight people killed by ICE (5) or Border Patrol Agents (3) since January 20th, 2025. DHS argues these individuals were not blameless. Annual Average Customs & Border Protection Fatal Encounters under Trump are half what they were under Biden

Eight people killed by ICE (5) or Border Patrol Agents (3) since January 20th, 2025. DHS argues these individuals were not blameless. Annual Average Customs & Border Protection Fatal Encounters under Trump are half what they were under Biden

by | Oct 9, 2026 | , ,

Over 600,000 people have been booked into ICE detention centers between January 20th, 2025 and July 31, 2026. At the same time, there have been about 170,000 border apprehensions (155,000 at the southwest-border and another 15,000 nationwide). So with eight dead, that...

New Research: The worst 2% of U.S. counties produce an even larger share of firearm murders than of murders overall. Those counties account for 53% of all murders but 57% of firearm murders. Most in heavily Democrat controlled areas. U.S. murders are concentrated far more heavily than Canada’s and Australia’s.

New Research: The worst 2% of U.S. counties produce an even larger share of firearm murders than of murders overall. Those counties account for 53% of all murders but 57% of firearm murders. Most in heavily Democrat controlled areas. U.S. murders are concentrated far more heavily than Canada’s and Australia’s.

by | Oct 6, 2026 |

We have previously examined how heavily murders concentrate in the United States, but this is our first analysis of firearm homicide concentration. The first two graphs show that the worst 2% to 5% of counties account for a share of firearm murders about four...

Trump Administration Decision Not to Criminally Prosecute Licensed Dealers who Sell Handguns to 18, 19, and 20 Year Olds. Showing that the Victimization Rate for Murder and Rape is Higher for 18 to 20 Year Olds than 21 to 23 Year Olds. That is Relevant if a Gun Ban Primarily Disarms Law-abiding People Relative to Criminals.

Trump Administration Decision Not to Criminally Prosecute Licensed Dealers who Sell Handguns to 18, 19, and 20 Year Olds. Showing that the Victimization Rate for Murder and Rape is Higher for 18 to 20 Year Olds than 21 to 23 Year Olds. That is Relevant if a Gun Ban Primarily Disarms Law-abiding People Relative to Criminals.

by | Sep 27, 2026 | ,

Gun control advocates have condemned the Justice Department’s decision to stop criminally enforcing the nearly 60-year-old federal ban on licensed dealers selling handguns to law-abiding 18-, 19-, and 20-year-olds. Saying it will cause the loss of life. “That’s...

Massive errors in FBI’s Active Shooting Reports from 2014-2025 regarding cases where civilians stop attacks: Instead of 3.9%, the correct number is at least 36.6%. Excluding gun-free zones, it averaged over 52.9%. In 2025, it was 58.3%.

Massive errors in FBI’s Active Shooting Reports from 2014-2025 regarding cases where civilians stop attacks: Instead of 3.9%, the correct number is at least 36.6%. Excluding gun-free zones, it averaged over 52.9%. In 2025, it was 58.3%.

by | Sep 22, 2026 | ,

Data: For convenience, the Excel file is available here, as well as a webpage with the list and links to the underlying news stories (see also here). We also show cases that the FBI missed of both armed and unarmed civilians stopping active shooting...

UPDATED: Should We Deport Illegal Aliens Only After They’re Convicted?: Waiting for a Drug Selling Conviction Can Cost Taxpayers Up to >$600K. Even if all illegals who have been charged but not convicted face this type of crime, the total legal costs would be up to $149 Billion

UPDATED: Should We Deport Illegal Aliens Only After They’re Convicted?: Waiting for a Drug Selling Conviction Can Cost Taxpayers Up to >$600K. Even if all illegals who have been charged but not convicted face this type of crime, the total legal costs would be up to $149 Billion

by | Sep 9, 2026 | ,

Take the case of Isaac Melendez-Carranza, an illegal alien from El Salvador, who was recently arrested for allegedly selling fentanyl to students at Park View High School in Loudoun County, Virginia. Investigators linked him to at least two student...

UPDATED: Despite Lula’s Campaign Promises, the Number of Licensed Firearm Owners in Brazil Increased by at least 18% Between 2022 and 2026, and total guns owned up slightly by 3.3%

UPDATED: Despite Lula’s Campaign Promises, the Number of Licensed Firearm Owners in Brazil Increased by at least 18% Between 2022 and 2026, and total guns owned up slightly by 3.3%

by | Aug 14, 2026 | ,

UPDATE August 14, 2026: Include the new graph at the top. So there was a 86% increase in licensed firearm owners from 2017 to 2018. There was another 238% increase from 2018 to 2019. Between the year before Balsonaro took office in 2019 to his last year in office...

UPDATED: Almost Twice as Many General Election Voters Prefer Arresting Repeat Violent Criminals Compared to Enforcing Current Gun Control Laws or Enacting More Gun Control Laws

UPDATED: Almost Twice as Many General Election Voters Prefer Arresting Repeat Violent Criminals Compared to Enforcing Current Gun Control Laws or Enacting More Gun Control Laws

by | Aug 10, 2026 | , ,

The Crime Prevention Research Center commissioned a new McLaughlin & Associates survey of 1,000 American general election voters on July 22nd, 2026 (cross tabs available here). Despite frequent claims that the public supports gun control as a way to reduce crime,...

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