Dr. John Lott has a new piece at Real Clear Investigations on the record drop in violent crime during 2025 and the historic low murder rate. . The U.S. has been running a real-time experiment on two approaches to criminal justice: the Biden-era emphasis on social...
Crime Prevention
Research Center
Dedicated to conducting academic quality research on the relationship between laws regulating the ownership or use of guns, crime, and public safety
Latest Research
The Reported Violent Crime Continues to Plummet This Year: An estimated 18.4% drop in homicide in the first seven months of 2026 compared to the first seven months of 2025, rapes were down 10.6%, robberies down 16.7%, and aggravated assaults down 3.5%
Screenshot Comparing the number of murders in the first seven months of 2025 to the same time in 2026:FBI Crime Data Explorer Data Discovery ToolMonth20252026Coverage gap in 2026 in percent of the population covered in percentage pointsPercent Drop in Homicides...
The Latest Research
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Latest Columns
At Real Clear Investigations: Arrests, Prosecutions and Deportations Fuel Record Drop in Crime
Dr. John Lott has a new piece at Real Clear Investigations on the record drop in violent crime during 2025 and the historic low murder rate. . The U.S. has been running a real-time experiment on two approaches to criminal justice: the Biden-era emphasis on social...
At the National Review: Yes, Armed Civilians Can — and Do — Stop Mass Shootings: Data ignored by the FBI show the importance of defensive gun use in bringing down active shooters
Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed at National Review Online. . Two days after last week’s attack on an Oregon elementary school, the Associated Press opened a news story with a familiar claim: “Few mass shootings in the U.S. end like the deadly attack on an...
At The Washington Times: ‘Good guy with a gun’ phenomenon is no myth
Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed piece at the Washington Times. . Censorship was a serious problem during the Biden administration. . President Trump has reversed some of the changes that President Biden made to information published by the...
At The Federalist: Endless Plea Deals Prove The Death Penalty Is A Powerful Deterrent
Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed at The Federalist. . Without the threat of the death penalty, prosecutors would lose a powerful incentive for defendants to negotiate. . The U.S. military last executed a convicted criminal on April 13, 1961. But if anyone deserves the...
At The Federalist: New Trump Admin Stats Prove Good Guys With Guns Save Lives
Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed at The Federalist. See also the link at Real Clear Politics. . The federal government consistently downplays evidence that armed, law-abiding citizens can stop public mass-casualty attacks. . Those who manipulate crime data can shape the...
At Townhall: Gun Control Advocates Really Don’t Think There Is Any Age at Which People Should Own Guns
Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed at Townhall. . Gun control advocates have condemned the Justice Department’s decision to stop criminally enforcing the nearly 60-year-old 1968 federal ban on licensed dealers selling handguns to law-abiding 18-, 19-, and...
At the New York Post: Left’s push to delay deporting illegal-migrant criminals imposes huge costs on taxpayers
Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed at the New York Post. Also linked at Real Clear Politics. . Much of today’s deportation debate centers on the question of who should count as “criminals” to be immediately sent back to their home countries — with anti-deportation...
At Real Clear Politics: CDC Undercounts Defensive Gun Uses
Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed at Real Clear Politics. It was also published at The Blaze and World Net Daily. . Whoever controls crime data can shape the political debate. The Trump administration has already reversed some of the changes the Biden administration made...
Videos
Talks
Talk at the 2026 Gun Rights Policy Conference: The Effects of Gun Control Policies on Crime and Public Safety
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nX8uoAHk8G0&t=222s A copy of the PowerPoint is available here. GRPC 2026 Sept 27 TalkDownload
Talk at Freedomfest on Restoring Self Defense
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vVlFRlwy4G4 Dr. John Lott's talk on July 10th, 2026 on Restoring Self Defense. A copy of the PowerPoint is available here.
Talk in Argentina: Making People Safer
Here is the audio and PowerPoint for Dr. John Lott's recent talk in Buenos Aires, Argentina on August 13th. This talk has Lott speaking in English followed by a translator speaking in Spanish. Argentina-Talk-2025-without-videoDownload The video in the presentation is...
Media Appearances
On Ed Martin Real America’s Voice: Discussing Trump Undoing the CDC’s censorship of Defensive Gun Use and Problems with the FBI’s Active Shooting Reports
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9537mKFuYM Dr. John Lott appeared on Ed Martin's Real America's Voice about how the federal government consistently downplays evidence that armed, law-abiding citizens can stop public mass-casualty attacks. The discussion followed...
On the Lars Larson Show: Armed Bystander Stops Deadly Oregon School Shooting Despite Firearms Restrictions
Dr. John Lott talked to Lars Larson on his national radio show about the recent deadly shooting at Silver Rail Elementary School in Bend, Oregon, where Kaylub Giamanco, a bystander with a concealed handgun permit, shot and killed the 16-year-old gunman, even though...
On the Lars Larson Show: To Discuss the Oregon Elementary School Shooting
Dr. John Lott talked to Lars Larson on his national radio show about the latest school shooting in Bend, Oregon, where a bystander shot and killed the shooter despite the school district’s ban on staff carrying firearms on campus. (Thursday, October 15, 2026)
All Our Posts
The unprecedented drop in felony violent crime and property crime reported by the Bureau of Justice Statistics on October 26, 2026 wasn’t covered by most major media outlets
On Monday, October 26, 2026, the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) reported that felony violent crime fell 25% in 2025. Rape declined 13%, robbery dropped 27%, aggravated assault plunged 31%, and property crime fell 19%. Except for rape, these were the...
Problems with the Texas and American Community Survey Data in Measuring Crime by Illegal Aliens
We have previously written on the systematic errors in Cato's claims about the supposedly low crime rates by illegal aliens ("Illegal immigrant crime rates higher than Cato Institute wants you to believe"). But it is worth fleshing out those arguments more completely....
Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 25 Cases During July 2026
Houston, Texas, July 3, 2026 (Click2Houston.com) Deputies were called around 2:15 a.m. to the 8200 block of C.E. King Parkway on an in-progress call… Investigators said the shooting happened outside a business known as the JV Ranch Ice House. Deputies interviewed...
















