Students, reporters, and researchers already rely heavily on AI Chatbot programs to help write term papers, media reports, and research papers. Influencers on social media cite AI Chatbots (e.g., Ed Krassenstein who has a million followers on X). Fifteen AI Chatbots...
CPRC original research
A Historical Comparison of the Collapse of Law Enforcement in US Cities. The Drop in Arrest Rates over the Last Few Years is Unprecedented.
The drop in arrest rates over the last few years from 2020 to 2022 is without precedent, and that is particularly true for the largest cities. For cities with over 1 million people, the average arrest rate for reported violent crime fell from an average of 41% in the...
Did crime rise under Trump and Fall under Biden? No, the Opposite is True.
President Biden and Vice President Harris also passed the most significant gun reform law in almost 30 years. And now, we’re seeing the results of that action. Violent crime has plunged to its lowest ever in almost 50 years. And today, Axios reported, “Ne-...
Massive errors in FBI’s Active Shooting Reports from 2014-2023 regarding cases where civilians stop attacks: Instead of 4%, the correct number is at least 35%. Excluding gun-free zones, it averaged over 51.5%.
Data: For convenience, the Excel file is available here, as well as a webpage with the list and links to the underlying news stories. We also show cases that the FBI missed of both armed and unarmed civilians stopping active shooting attacks. FBI Active Shooting...
UPDATED: Cases where armed citizens have stopped active shooter incidents
The list of active shooting cases that were averted by people legally carrying guns, and were missed in the FBI Active Shooting reports. The FBI's definition of active shootings is narrow: it involves cases where a gun is fired in public and not part of some other...
Is the Murder Rate declining?: In sharp contrast to the FBI, the CDC data shows 2022 is higher than 2020 and much higher than in 2019.
The news media focuses on the FBI data to show that murders are falling. We have previously reported the problems with the FBI violent and property compared to the National Crime Victimization Survey data (here and here). But it turns out that the FBI murder data also...
The continued false claim that firearms are the leading cause of death for children or teens, now from the U.S. Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gI8HviyBw18 On Tuesday, the U.S. Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy declared: “Firearms are the leading cause of death for children and adolescents” and that it is “public health crisis.” This has been a favorite talking point from the...
New Research: Estimating the Effect of Concealed Carry Laws on Murder: A Response to Bondy, et al.
Professor Carl Moody, our CPRC research director, and Dr. John Lott have new research available for download. Abstract In response to our short paper in Academia Letters, Bondy et. al. published much longer response in this journal. We show that the Bondy et. al....
New Research: How does concealed carrying of weapons affect violent crime?
Professor Carl Moody and Dr. John Lott just released new research. The paper can be downloaded here. Abstract Several articles have been published finding that carry concealed weapons (CCW) laws allowing citizens with a concealed carry permit to go about with a...
The Rate that Police Officers are Murdered with their Own Weapon
Often, people point to the rate at which police officers are murdered with their guns. Over the 17 years from 2002 to 2018, there were 34 officers murdered with their gun compared to the 878 officers who were murdered — 3.87% of the total. But the relevant comparison...
How reliable are the FBI’s Report of Violent Crime Data? There are some major problems.
The U.S. employs two distinct measures of crime. The Federal Bureau of Investigation’s Uniform Crime Reporting program counts the number of crimes reported to police annually. The Bureau of Justice Statistics, in its National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), asks...
The Collapse in Law Enforcement: As Arrest Rates Plummet, People Have Been Less Willing to Report Crime
The American news media has been working overtime to convince people that violent crime is dramatically falling. Here are typical headlines from ABC News and NPR. "US stats show violent crime dramatically falling, so why is there a rising clash with perception? 'I...