A copy of our newest report is available here (please download). Copies of our annual reports from 2014 through 2022 are available here. Abstract After a spike in 2022, the number of Concealed Carry Permit holders across the United States fell for a second consecutive...
CPRC original research
Real Clear Investigations: Estimated Victimization Cost of Crime by Illegal Aliens is at least $166.5 Billion
Dr. John Lott has a new piece at Real Clear Investigations. The piece was then published at The Daily Caller, The Daily Signal, Independent Journal Review, The Epoch Times, Zero Hedge, The Political Insider, Gateway Pundit, World Net Daily, The Association of Mature...
New Publication at the International Review of Law & Economics: Estimating the effect of concealed carry laws on murder and other violent crimes
Our new research paper is available to read here. Abstract In 2021 we wrote a short paper noting that truncating the sample when estimating the effect of right to carry laws on crime could be biased by comparisons to states that already adopted the law, instead of...
Real Clear Investigations: Stealth Edit: FBI Quietly Revises Violent Crime Stats
Dr. John Lott has a new investigative piece at Real Clear Investigations. It also appeared at Alpha News, Patriot Post, Tipp Insights. . When the FBI originally released the "final" crime data for 2022 in September 2023, it reported that the nation’s violent crime...
The Revised FBI Crime Data Reveals that it Originally Missed 1,699 Murders in 2022. Given that Almost all Murders are Reported, How Does the FBI Miss that Many Murders?
USA Today’s headline on the FBI's reported crime data released in September 2023 claims “Violent crime dropped for second straight year in 2023, including murder and rape.” There are two errors in their headline. First, that it is the FBI’s measure of reported crime...
New 2023 FBI Reported Crime Data is Out, FBI Data Adjusted for Previous Years, In 2022, the FBI had Previously Shown Reported Violent Crime was down -2.1%, but Now Up 4.5%. A net change of 80,029 more violent crimes. The media refuses to Cover Data on Total Violent Crime.
The raw data on the changes in 2021 and 2022 are shown farther down the page. The newly released FBI data shows that reported violent crime (murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault) fell by 3.5% in 2023, but they have revised the 2022 data to show a 4.5%...
The Percent Changes in Violent Crime Under Biden are Statistically Significant at the better than the 0.0001% Level for a Two-tailed t-statistic
UPDATE: We have added ChatGBT's evaluation of the post below. Original Post: Despite what the media and the Bureau of Justice Statistics are noting, if you look at the percentage changes in crime rates under the Biden administration, there has never been such a large...
New Bureau of Justice Statistics Crime Data Just Released: Violent crime (Rape, Robbery, and Aggravated Assault) Soaring Under Biden-Harris.
The list of people in the media claiming that crime is falling is endless. We have added ChatGBT's evaluation of this post at the end. DAVID MUIR: President Trump, as you know, the FBI says overall violent crime is coming down in this country David Muir, "Harris-Trump...
Artificial Intelligence Chatbots are Moving Even Further to the Political Left on Crime, Policing, and Gun Control
Students, reporters, and researchers already rely heavily on AI Chatbot programs to help write term papers, media reports, and research papers. Influencers on social media cite AI Chatbots (e.g., Ed Krassenstein who has a million followers on X). Fifteen AI Chatbots...
A Historical Comparison of the Collapse of Law Enforcement in US Cities. The Drop in Arrest Rates over the Last Few Years is Unprecedented.
UPDATE: We have added ChatGBT’s evaluation of the post below. Original Post: The drop in arrest rates over the last few years from 2020 to 2022 is without precedent, and that is particularly true for the largest cities. For cities with over 1 million people, the...
Did crime rise under Trump and Fall under Biden? No, the Opposite is True.
President Biden and Vice President Harris also passed the most significant gun reform law in almost 30 years. And now, we’re seeing the results of that action. Violent crime has plunged to its lowest ever in almost 50 years. And today, Axios reported, “Ne-...
Massive errors in FBI’s Active Shooting Reports from 2014-2023 regarding cases where civilians stop attacks: Instead of 4%, the correct number is at least 35%. Excluding gun-free zones, it averaged over 51.5%.
Data: For convenience, the Excel file is available here, as well as a webpage with the list and links to the underlying news stories. We also show cases that the FBI missed of both armed and unarmed civilians stopping active shooting attacks. FBI Active Shooting...