Comparing the Drop in Murders in D.C. and Memphis After Federalizing Law Enforcement with the Same Months a Year Earlier Under the Biden Administration

Oct 24, 2026 | Crime Statistics

Murders vary a lot over the course of a year. Before Trump intervened, Memphis had the nation’s fourth-highest murder rate among cities with more than 100,000 residents, while D.C. ranked 11th.

Trump took federal control of D.C.’s policing on August 11, 2025. Comparing September through December 2025 with the same four months in 2024—the final four full months of the Biden administration—murders plunged 64%, from 63 to 23. At the same time, D.C.’s population rose slightly by 0.34% from 691,310 on July 1, 2024 to 693,645 on July 1, 2025.

Trump began a federal law enforcement intervention in Memphis on September 29, 2025. Murders there fell 42%, from 50 during October through December 2024 to 29 during the same months in 2025. Memphis’ population fell by 0.7% from 614,222 on July 1, 2024 to 609,647 on July 1, 2025.

These drops are much larger than the 18% national drop in murders, and indicate that there likely was an additional benefit from the federalization of law enforcement. The drop in D.C. was 3.5 times more than the national drop and in Memphis was 2.33 times greater.

Overall violent crime rates also plunged, in D.C. by 23% and in Memphis by 47%.

Washington, D.C. Murders, Federalization of Policing Started on August 11th, 2025Memphis, Tennessee Murders, Federalization of Policing Started on September 29th, 2025
2024202520242025
Sept144
Oct257Oct189
Nov126Nov169
Dec126Dec1611
Total63235029
Percent Drop64%42%
Washington, D.C. Violent Crime, Federalization of Policing Started on August 11th, 2025Memphis, Tennessee Violent Crime, Federalization of Policing Started on September 29th, 2025
Month2024 — Biden2025 — TrumpPercent declineMonth2024 — Biden2025 — TrumpPercent decline
Sept56241226.70%
Oct57144222.60%Oct1,28554857.40%
Nov49843911.80%Nov1,13859547.70%
Dec44431429.30%Dec1,08470035.40%
Total2,0751,60722.60%Total3,5071,84347.40%

johnrlott

0 Comments

Categories

Archives

On The Voice of Reason: To Discuss Crime Rates in the U.S.

On The Voice of Reason: To Discuss Crime Rates in the U.S.

Dr. John Lott talked to Andy Hooser on The Voice of Reason in Kansas about the sharp decline in violent crime in 2025 and historically low murder rates. See also Dr. Lott's new piece at Real Clear Investigations titled "Arrests, Prosecutions and Deportations Fuel...