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America’s Dramatic Decline in Homicide Clearance Rates (Arrest Rates) from 1965 to 2024: Falling From 91 to 52 Percent

Oct 25, 2025 | Original Research, Crime Statistics

CPRC original research crime statistics

The FBI’s Criminal Justice Information Services (CJIS) shows a dramatic drop in arrest rates for homicides over the last 60 years — a 43 percent, 39 percentage point, drop. The Excel file with the data is available here.

fbi_murder_rate_1965_2004Download

johnrlott

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On Ask Dr. Drew: Understanding the Crime Data

On Ask Dr. Drew: Understanding the Crime Data

by | Jun 9, 2026 |

https://youtu.be/KD4hOa4Ab04 Dr. John Lott appeared on Ask Dr. Drew to discuss claims by many elected officials that crime is falling in their districts, arguing that these claims are based on misleading statistics carefully constructed to produce results favored by...