The past three years have also had transgender mass shootings in Nashville, Minneapolis and Colorado Springs. A report by the Crime Prevention Research Center shows that from 2018 to 2024, transgender people committed active shootings at least 12 times their share of the population. . . .
Don Feder, “Transgenderism: An attack on reality,” Washington Times, March 1, 2026.
Contrary to claims by leftist “fact checkers,” such as Politfact.com, transgender individuals actually commit a disproportionately high share of mass public and active shooting attacks, new analysis by the Crime Prevention Research Center (CPRC) reveals.
Regardless of the data analyzed or estimates of transgender population used, transgenders commit a far higher proportion of mass public and active shootings than their share of the U.S. population would suggest, the CPRC study finds.
In 2024, for example, their share of mass public and active shooting attacks was at least 12 times – and possibly more than 16 times – their share of the population.
Attempts by groups like Politifact to use data to dismiss concerns of transgender violence are based on faulty analysis – because they don’t factor in transgender individuals’ share of the violent attacks in the U.S. relative to their share of the population – CPRC President John Lott explains:
“That is an obvious statistical mistake. If a group makes up just 1 percent of the population but commits 10 percent of the attacks, no one would dismiss that disparity simply because the group accounts for “only” 10 percent of active shooting attacks.”
Like Politifact’s 2025 report titled “Are trans people ‘statistically’ more prone to commit gun violence? Data shows a different picture,” CPRC’s study analyzes data for the years 2018-2024. But, Lott’s analysis takes transgenders’ share of the U.S. population into account.
CPRC performed separate analyses of two different sets of crime data: FBI-only data and data using an expanded definition of active shooting incorporating FBI data. In both cases, transgender individuals were found to have committed disproportionately high shares of mass public and active shooting attacks.
Likewise, CPRC looked at two different estimates of the share of the U.S. population comprised of transgender individuals: 0.73% and 1.0%. Again, transgenders committed a far higher proportion of active shootings in both cases.
The ratio of shooting-share to population-share spiked in 2024, suggesting a worsening problem of active shootings by transgender individuals. Using the 0.73% population estimate, the ratio jumped from 2.84 times higher in 2023 to 16.37 times higher in 2024. With the 1.0% estimate, the ratio still vaults from 2.08 to 12.0.
From 2018-2024, if they comprised 0.73%, their share of shootings was 3.4 times their share of population. If 1.0%, it was 2.5 times higher than their share of the population. When the definition of active shooting is expanded to include additional events (at 0.73%), the proportion is 2.1 times higher. . . .
A report by the Crime Prevention Research Center shows that from 2018 to 2024, transgender people committed active shootings at least 12 times their share of the population. . . .
Don Feder, “Transgenderism: An attack on reality,” World Net Daily, March 3, 2026.
According to crime researcher John R. Lott Jr., “The transgender share of mass public shootings over the 2018 to 2025 period make up only 5 percent of attacks, but that is six times their share of the population.”
Lott also points out that because of this group’s tendency for suicidal ideation, they are more likely to seek out situations in which they are at greater risk of getting killed. . . .
In the aftermath of the shooting in Rhode Island, we’re back to discussing if trans people are somehow more violent than non-trans individuals, with a lot of people offering up a lot of opinions on the topic.
Honestly, I have my own thoughts on the subject, which we’ll get into later, but for now, what about the facts? What do the numbers actually tell us?
The unfortunate truth is that most of those who are interested in compiling numbers are also inclined to fudge the numbers to make a point, based on what I’ve seen over the years.
John Lott, though, tends to run counter to those folks, and his organization took a look at who did what. . . . [Long quote here]
Paul Bedard, writing in the Washington Examiner, called CPRC’s findings a “ten times” correction to the FBI’s headline claim, summarizing the core numbers (36% overall, even higher outside gun-free zones) and pointing to likely causes for the disparity: excluded “no-shots-fired” interventions, misclassification of volunteers as professionals, and a generally restrictive protocol that leans out rather than in. Bedard highlighted Lott’s broader point: the role of armed citizens has been underplayed in public debate, shaping policy assumptions and media narratives in ways that don’t reflect ground truth.
Even though we’ve seen a pair of transgendered murder sprees in recent days, Politifact claims that there’s no such thing as trans terrorism.Their “move along, nothing to see here” make-believe reporting designed to protect a “vulnerable” identity group is one big reason why trust in the media is near historic lows. The alarming reality that mainstream outlets like Politifact refuse to confront shows that transgender individuals are dramatically overrepresented in mass public shootings, according to research by John Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center.
In a detailed analysis, Lott dismantles Politifact’s claims of “no evidence” of rising LGBTQ+ violence. Or that trans people being statistically more prone to open fire on at schools, churches, hockey games…wherever.
Politifact’s cherry-picked report err fundamentally by citing only the raw percentage of attacks by trans perpetrators without normalizing for their minuscule share of the population (1% or less). That’s basic statistical malpractice. If a tiny demographic commits an outsized portion of rare, horrific crimes, the disparity screams for attention. . . .
For all this and more, here’s Lott’s report at the Crime Prevention Research Center: . . .
Topher Field is a Australian documentary film maker and libertarian political commentator. He also has a YouTube Channel.
John Lott is a researcher and author of the book More Guns, Less Crime.
These two had a conversation. This is an interesting, if brief (9 minute) excerpt of that meeting, about America’s experience with armed self-defense. It is 9 minutes out of a conversation that lasted just over an hour. I have not listened to entire conversation, but I will try to get to that this week.
This is the Topher Field video What if everything you’ve been told is upside down? Topher Project Special with John Lott . . . [More here]
“John Lott on Australia As a Defenseless Victim Zone,” 357 Magnum, February 24, 2026.
Economist John Lott has spent decades digging into this, and his work points in exactly the opposite direction of the mayor’s feelings. In More Guns, Less Crime and later analyses, Lott points to survey data indicating somewhere between roughly 760,000 and 3.6 million defensive uses per year, with most of them ending the moment a gun is shown, not fired. His article and later congressional testimony on DGUs lay out 18 separate surveys with an average near the 2 million mark.
Sean Maloney, “Mayor LaGrand’s Epic Fail: Defensive Gun Use Data Destroys the Narrative,” Ammoland, February 27, 2026.
In a detailed analysis, Lott dismantles Politifact’s claims of “no evidence” of rising LGBTQ+ violence. Or that trans people being statistically more prone to open fire on at schools, churches, hockey games…wherever.
Politifact’s cherry-picked report err fundamentally by citing only the raw percentage of attacks by trans perpetrators without normalizing for their minuscule share of the population (1% or less). That’s basic statistical malpractice. If a tiny demographic commits an outsized portion of rare, horrific crimes, the disparity screams for attention. . . .
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