— “Compared to citizens of other states, Californians are about 25% less likely to die in mass shootings. Between 2019 and 2021, the state’s annual mass shooting homicide rate of 1.4 per one million people was lower than the national average of 1.9.” A report by the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) was quoted by Gavin Newsom to justify his claim that “FACT SHEET: California’s Gun Safety Policies Save Lives, Provide Model for a Nation Seeking Solutions.”
After the California Supreme Court declared the state’s assault weapon ban unconstitutional in 1998, a new law was enacted in 2000. Picking just a few years from 2019 to 2021 to evaluate the law seems arbitrary. Whether one picks the years from 2000 on, 2010 on, or 2020 on, the per capita rate of mass public shootings in California is always greater than the rate for the rest of the country (Excel file is available here). The rate has also been consistently lower in Texas, which gun control groups give an “F” grade for its gun control laws. From 2010 on, California’s per capita rate of mass public shootings was 43% higher than the rate in Texas and 29% higher than in the rest of the United States. Since 2020, the rate in California is 276% higher than in Texas and 100% higher than in the rest of the U.S..
|California’s Mass Public Shooting rate is much higher than the rest of the US’s:|
Per Capita Rate of Mass Public Shootings From January 1, 2000 to January 24, 2023
|Since 2000||Since 2010||since 2020|
|US other than California||0.29||0.20||0.064|
|How much more frequent are attacks in California than Texas?||39%||43%||276%|
|How much more frequent are attacks in California than in the rest of the US than California?||8%||29%||100%|