A copy of our newest report is available here (please download). Copies of our annual reports from 2014 through 2022 are available here. Abstract After a spike in 2022, the number of Concealed Carry Permit holders across the United States fell for a second consecutive...
Real Clear Investigations: Estimated Victimization Cost of Crime by Illegal Aliens is at least $166.5 Billion
Dr. John Lott has a new piece at Real Clear Investigations. The piece was then published at The Daily Caller, The Daily Signal, Independent Journal Review, The Epoch Times, Zero Hedge, The Political Insider, Gateway Pundit, World Net Daily, The Association of Mature...
New Publication at the International Review of Law & Economics: Estimating the effect of concealed carry laws on murder and other violent crimes
Our new research paper is available to read here. Abstract In 2021 we wrote a short paper noting that truncating the sample when estimating the effect of right to carry laws on crime could be biased by comparisons to states that already adopted the law, instead of...
Real Clear Investigations: Stealth Edit: FBI Quietly Revises Violent Crime Stats
Dr. John Lott has a new investigative piece at Real Clear Investigations. It also appeared at Alpha News, Patriot Post, Tipp Insights. . When the FBI originally released the "final" crime data for 2022 in September 2023, it reported that the nation’s violent crime...
The Revised FBI Crime Data Reveals that it Originally Missed 1,699 Murders in 2022. Given that Almost all Murders are Reported, How Does the FBI Miss that Many Murders?
USA Today’s headline on the FBI's reported crime data released in September 2023 claims “Violent crime dropped for second straight year in 2023, including murder and rape.” There are two errors in their headline. First, that it is the FBI’s measure of reported crime...
New 2023 FBI Reported Crime Data is Out, FBI Data Adjusted for Previous Years, In 2022, the FBI had Previously Shown Reported Violent Crime was down -2.1%, but Now Up 4.5%. A net change of 80,029 more violent crimes. The media refuses to Cover Data on Total Violent Crime.
The raw data on the changes in 2021 and 2022 are shown farther down the page. The newly released FBI data shows that reported violent crime (murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault) fell by 3.5% in 2023, but they have revised the 2022 data to show a 4.5%...
The Percent Changes in Violent Crime Under Biden are Statistically Significant at the better than the 0.0001% Level for a Two-tailed t-statistic
UPDATE: We have added ChatGBT's evaluation of the post below. Original Post: Despite what the media and the Bureau of Justice Statistics are noting, if you look at the percentage changes in crime rates under the Biden administration, there has never been such a large...
New Bureau of Justice Statistics Crime Data Just Released: Violent crime (Rape, Robbery, and Aggravated Assault) Soaring Under Biden-Harris.
The list of people in the media claiming that crime is falling is endless. We have added ChatGBT's evaluation of this post at the end. DAVID MUIR: President Trump, as you know, the FBI says overall violent crime is coming down in this country David Muir, "Harris-Trump...
Artificial Intelligence Chatbots are Moving Even Further to the Political Left on Crime, Policing, and Gun Control
Students, reporters, and researchers already rely heavily on AI Chatbot programs to help write term papers, media reports, and research papers. Influencers on social media cite AI Chatbots (e.g., Ed Krassenstein who has a million followers on X). Fifteen AI Chatbots...
Pre-CPRC research
Multiple Victim Public Shootings
Yale University Law School Working Paper, October 19, 2000.
Lott, John R., Jr., Yale University Law School
Landes, William M. University of Chicago Law School; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
University of Chicago Law School, John M. Olin Law & Economics Working Paper No. 73, 1999.
Lott, John R., Jr., University of Chicago Law School
Landes, William M. University of Chicago Law School; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Safe Storage Gun Laws: Accidental Deaths, Suicides, and Crime
Yale Law School, Law & Economics Working Paper No. 237, 2000.
Lott, John R. University of Maryland Foundation, University of Maryland
Whitley, John E. University of Adelaide – School of Economics
National Instant Criminal Background Check System:
Fact vs. fiction on background checks and the gun control debate
Background checks have “no impact,” “zero” costs on law-abiding?
Tracking use of claim that 40% of gun sales take place without a background check
1968 Misdemeanor Conviction prevents U.S. Navy veteran from getting gun for self protection
One of the problems with background checks for gun purchases
More Problems with Brady Background Checks
The Problem with Brady Background Checks
What to make of the claim that 247 people on the terror watch list bought guns last year
Phantom gun control claims over the holes in the NICS background check system
NICS checks by state by month by year from 1998 to December 2010
Crime in Australia:
New Australian Study Shows More Guns, Less Crime
Gun smuggling in Australia, apparently the criminals are still obtaining guns
Some notes on claims about Australia’s crime rates
Gun permits almost double over last 5 years in New South Wales Australia
Australian gun regulations on murder
Crime in Ireland:
Some examples of the impact of gun bans on murder rates
Even more gun control in Ireland
So were Piers Morgan and Christiane Amanpour dishonest about crime rates last night?
Crime in Jamaica:
Some examples of the impact of gun bans on murder rates
So were Piers Morgan and Christiane Amanpour dishonest about crime rates last night?
Jamaica’s Bloody Lesson on Guns
Figure on Jamaica’s murder rate from the third edition of More Guns, Less Crime
Murder rates in Jamaica through the roof
Crime in Chicago:
Weren’t Chicago murder rates supposed to soar after the Supreme Court Decision?
“Gun Decision Was Product of University of Chicago”
Chicago has most murders of any city in the country
7th Circuit Appeals Court strikes down Chicago ban on gun ranges within the city limits
Chicago’s gang problem, role of cuts and changes in police policies
Alan Gura predicts that crime will drop if gun ownership allowed in Chicago
Chicago makes it even more costly to own a gun
Let’s Face It, Chicago’s Mayor Richard Daley Wants to Ban Guns, All Guns
Crime in Washington, D.C.:
Updating the changes in DC’s crime rates since Heller
Vet loses guns to DC police as he travels through nation’s capital
DC drags feet on correcting false info on DC’s gun laws
Ask Canada — gun registration won’t make D.C. safer
Crime down after Supreme Court overturns city gun bans
DC reluctantly moves to remove some gun control laws
DC’s phony crime closure rates
Where is the ACLU in Chicago and DC gun fee cases?
“Shot down: D.C. residents unable to register handguns”
Just a reminder about DC and Chicago’s crime rate changes after the Supreme Court decisions
NY Times points to Times Square BOMBER as reason for more government regulation of guns?
How difficult is it to get a handgun in DC? Very, very difficult.