The notion that Mexican drug gangs are getting machine guns from the United States is absurd, but that is the claim in CBS’s new show Coyote staring Michael Chiklis. Episode 5 shows an AR-15 as a machine gun and Chiklis is asked to figure out what happened to a shipment of them that was supposed to go a drug gang. In Episode 6, Chiklis explains that these machine guns came from the US.
The claim that the United States is the source of Mexico’s crime guns is based on a misunderstanding of the data. According to data from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, 70% of all criminally owned guns in Mexico come from the U.S., but these figures are based only on the limited number of guns Mexican authorities have seized, traced and submitted to the agency for checking. That’s a small subset of guns. For instance, Mexico submitted 11,000 guns to the ATF in 2007-08, though it seized 29,000 guns during that time. Of those, 6,000 were successfully traced and 90% of those traceable weapons came from the U.S. Thus by one estimate only about 17.6% of the firearms Mexico collected in total could be traced back to America.
“These kinds of guns—the auto versions of these guns—they are not coming from El Paso,” Ed Head, a firearms instructor in Arizona who spent 24 years as a U.S. Border Patrol agent, told Fox News. “They are coming from other sources. They are brought in from Guatemala. They are brought in from places like China. They are being diverted from the military. But you don’t get these guns from the U.S.”
Between 2005 and 2014, more than 13,000 grenades were seized by the Mexican government, and these simply can’t be bought in the U.S.. Are people going to claim that these grenades come from the US? If not, why don’t they understand these guns, particularly machine guns, are also not coming from the US.
Dr. Lott,
We can expect Biden will soon trot out the Obama era 87% of guns seized in Mexico as coming from the U.S. That number comes from “GAO Firearms Trafficking Report d09709” and is “misleading.” When I did the math I came up with 11% however a FOIA request for the raw data to the GAO was denied. Please be prepared to call out Biden on this since the Mexican Government is already talking to him about guns.