In the Wall Street Journal: Mexico’s Soaring Murder Rate Proves Gun Control Is Deadly

Oct 22, 2019 | Featured

Dr. John Lott has a new piece in the Wall Street Journal about Mexico’s extremely high murder rate.

Another month, another record number of murders in Mexico. For the first nine months of 2019, Mexico had 25,890 murders—almost six times as many murders per 100,000 people as in the U.S. Does Mexico need stricter gun control?

No. Its gun laws are among the least permissive in the world. For decades Mexico has had only one gun store in the entire country, a military-run establishment in Mexico City. The store’s prices are very expensive, and the most powerful rifle that you can buy there is a .22 caliber. There’s no “gun-show loophole”—any person-to-person firearm transfers are illegal without an “extraordinary” permit that never seems to be issued. One may sell a gun only to the government, and then the government has to decide to sell it to someone else.

Getting permission to purchase a gun is a feat in itself. Background checks take six months to complete and require fingerprints and an evaluation of the buyer’s employment history. Only 1% of Mexicans possess a license to own a firearm. When I testified before the Mexican Senate a few years ago, members of the chamber, who have faced death threats, told me that even they found it impossible to get a concealed-handgun permit.

It wasn’t always this way. Mexicans had a right to own guns until 1971, when the constitution was amended to give the federal government total control over firearm access. In 1972 the government passed strict gun-control measures. Now Mexicans can’t transport guns outside their homes without a permit from the Secretariat of National Defense—even if the gun is lawfully registered, unloaded, in a locked container, and going from one residence to another.

Mexico’s murder rate is about twice what it was in 1972. Mexican officials blame America, with its relatively strong gun rights. But the fully automatic guns often used to commit murders in Mexico are strictly limited on U.S. soil. Between 2005 and 2014, more than 13,000 grenades were seized by the Mexican government, and these simply can’t be bought in the U.S. A 2016 U.S. Government Accountability Office report complained of limited collaboration with Mexican authorities on tracing guns. 

So where do Mexican criminals get their guns? “Most cartels buy in bulk, and the weapons are coming from places like Nicaragua and other South American countries. Also Asia and some from the Middle East,” a Tijuana-based police authority who requested anonymity recently told Fox News.

According to data from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, 70% of all criminally owned guns in Mexico come from the U.S., but these figures are based only on the limited number of guns Mexican authorities have seized, traced and submitted to the agency for checking. That’s a small subset of guns. For instance, Mexico submitted 11,000 guns to the ATF in 2007-08, though it seized 29,000 guns during that time. Of those, 6,000 were successfully traced and 90% of those traceable weapons came from the U.S. Thus by one estimate only about 17.6% of the firearms Mexico collected in total could be traced back to America.

“These kinds of guns—the auto versions of these guns—they are not coming from El Paso,” Ed Head, a firearms instructor in Arizona who spent 24 years as a U.S. Border Patrol agent, told Fox News. “They are coming from other sources. They are brought in from Guatemala. They are brought in from places like China. They are being diverted from the military. But you don’t get these guns from the U.S.” 

Strict gun-control laws and high homicide rates often go together. Other developed countries that fit this pattern include Brazil and Russia. If you look across all countries or all developed countries, the ones with the highest gun-ownership rates tend to have the lowest homicide rates and the lowest murder rates from mass shootings.

Gun laws, no matter how draconian, don’t solve crime problems. It’s pretty simple—the only way to stop a bad guy with a gun, is a good guy with a gun. Disarming the latter emboldens the former.

John R. Lott, Jr., “Mexico’s Soaring Murder Rate Proves Gun Control Is Deadly,” Wall Street Journal, October 19, 2021.

The piece is available here.



  1. Robert Morse

    Can we read the full article someplace without a pay wall?

  2. Cris Baker

    Proof that arming citizens decrease violent crime.

    Allowing concealed carry in identical settings immediately CHOPPED violent crime by 47.7% while a gun ban INCREASED violent crime by 9.5%. These unsurprising results came when Colorado State University allowed Concealed Carry on campus while the gun ban at University of Colorado’s Boulder campus stopped law-abiding citizens defending themselves from violent criminals. Similar results continued over the next 10+ years.

    So these results supporting concealed carry and the right to armed self-defense should be widely publicized.

    Armed citizens also deter rape. see:


Talk in Brazil on July 5th

Talk in Brazil on July 5th

Dr. John Lott will speak on Friday, July 5th at the 4th edition of SHOT FAIR BRASIL. Location: SHOT FAIR BRASIL Arena Day: July 5th (Friday) Time: 7pm until 8:30pm Guests: Lott, Bene Barbosa and Fabrício Rebelo Location: Anhembi District – EXPO 5 - São Paulo/SP...