Dr. John Lott has a new piece at The Hill newspaper that explains why we will soon see an increase in illegal aliens coming to the US from Mexico.
Coasting to victory on promises to reign in rampant corruption, Mexican president-elect Andrés Manuel López Obrador has sent shock waves through the Americas. Few realize that his election is likely to increase the number of low-income, low-skill illegal aliens coming to the United States.
Obrador admires Cuba and former Chilean socialist leader Salvador Allende. Venezuela’s socialist dictator Hugo Chávez helped with previous presidential campaigns by providing advisors and Venezuelan ambassador reportedly attended meetings with Obrador supporters.
While Mexican presidential candidates have long supported illegal aliens coming to the United States, Obrador’s rhetoric has been different. Instead of campaigning on the traditional promise that life in Mexico will improve so that people won’t have to leave their country, Obrador has been more direct: “We will defend… the migrants of the world who, by necessity, have to leave their villages to seek life in the United States; it is a human right that we will defend.”
Obrador’s party, The National Regeneration Movement (MORENA), has won solid majorities in both the lower and upper houses of Congress. Now, there may be no stopping this party’s radical left-wing agenda.
Just the threat of nationalizing companies will scare away foreign and domestic investment. While Obrador has promised not to increase taxes, there will surely be an increase in business regulations. Since President Trump took office, Americans have seen that attracting foreign investment increases the number of jobs, which in turn leads to higher salaries. Even before Obrador’s victory, some companies — such as Ford Motors — engaged in an about-face on planned car plants.
When the Mexican economy is faltering and the U.S. economy is booming, people get more determined to illegally cross the border. In recent decades, Cuban refugees have been desperate enough to brave shark-infested waters. Let’s hope that Mexico doesn’t become yet another socialist dystopia.
President Trump is concerned that countries such as Mexico are already sending people who are “not their best,” but that is only going to get worse. Obrador’s promised 140 percent increase in the minimum wage will encourage more illegal immigration. Employers won’t offer as many jobs if they are paying a higher minimum wage, and in the face of a job shortage less skilled workers will have trouble competing with more skilled ones.
Yet, unskilled illegal immigrants who can’t get jobs in Mexico, will find work in the United States. With few enforcement officers, the government depends on workers to alert them when employers pay them less than the minimum wage. Workers can sue for twice however much they are paid below that wage. It is hard for American citizens to work for less than the minimum wage, because they can’t credibly promise employers that they won’t be suing for twice the amount that they were underpaid. The longer they work for the company, the more they get from suing. Illegal aliens risk being identified and deported if they sue. . . .
The rest of the piece is available here.